Joe Biden Holds 2024 Edge Over Donald Trump Despite Midterm Woes: Poll

Gun Rights

President Joe Biden has a slight edge over former President Donald Trump in a potential rematch in the 2024 presidential election despite his low approval ratings and concerns about Democrats‘ potential midterm losses.

A Yahoo! News Survey conducted by YouGov found that the president enjoys a slim lead over Trump among U.S. adults and among registered voters, while the poll also contains some good news for Democrats heading into November.

The survey found that 42 percent of adults said they would vote for Biden in a hypothetical 2024 match-up, compared to 39 percent who said they would vote for Trump and 19 percent who said they were not sure.

The poll was conducted from May 19 to 22 among 1,573 adults and had a margin of error of +/-2.8 percent. Among those surveyed were 1,369 registered voters.

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Biden enjoyed 44 percent support among registered voters, while former President Trump recorded 42 percent support. A further 15 percent of registered voters said they were not sure.

The YouGov poll also appeared to have good news for Democrats heading into crucial midterm elections. The survey found that 38 percent of adults said they would vote for the Democratic candidate in the district where they live, compared with 36 percent who opted for the Republican and 15 percent who were not sure.

A further 10 percent said they wouldn’t vote and just 2 percent said they would vote for another candidate.

Democrats also enjoyed a larger lead among registered voters, with 42 percent saying they would vote for the Democratic candidate and 38 percent choosing the Republican.

A further 14 percent were not sure, 4 percent said they would not vote and 2 percent said they would vote for another candidate.

Despite the apparently positive news for Democrats, poll tracker FiveThirtyEight’s generic congressional ballot showed Republicans with 45 percent support to Democrats’ 42.8 percent as of May 30.

FiveThirtyEight’s analysis takes into account the YouGov poll as well as other recent polling.

Other recent polling also suggests a Biden/Trump rematch would be very close. An Emerson College poll conducted from May 24 to 25 showed that Trump enjoyed 44 percent in a 2024 contest, while Biden had 42 percent support.

That poll surveyed 1,148 registered voters and had a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent.

President Biden’s approval rating remains in negative territory and has reached a new record low of 40.7 percent as of May 30, according to FiveThirtyEight’s analysis. Disapproval of the president stands at 54.1 percent.

Republicans are aiming to retake the House of Representatives and the Senate in November and if they can take just one chamber of Congress, they will be able to stymie Biden’s agenda for the two years heading into the 2024 presidential election.

The president has said he will seek a second term, while former President Trump has repeatedly hinted at another White House run but has not made any official announcement.

Donald Trump and Joe biden
In this combination image, Donald Trump speaks during the National Rifle Association (NRA) annual convention on May 27, 2022 in Houston, Texas. Joe Biden delivers the commencement address during the graduation and commissioning ceremony at the U.S. Naval Academy May 27, 2022. A recent poll shows Biden with a slight edge in a hypothetical 2024 rematch with Trump.
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